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Adding Rigor to the CALFED Concept of Adaptive
Management:
Use of Decision
Analysis to Design Adaptive Flow Management Experiments in Clear
Creek, Northern California
US Department of Interior, Bureau of Reclamation
The CALFED Ecosystem Restoration Program (ERP)
has adopted an ecosystem-based management approach, with an emphasis
on adaptive management, for restoring the Bay-Delta ecosystem. In
this project, ESSA is developing a quantitative tool that uses decision
analysis and a computer simulation model to evaluate alternative
flow management experiments for Clear Creek. The overall objective
of the project is to provide CALFED with a quantitatively rigorous
design of a management experiment for a problem of immediate concern,
to serve as a useful example of the application of decision analysis,
modelling and adaptive management.
The project focuses on the design and simulation
of flow releases from Whiskeytown Reservoir to Clear Creek, and
evaluation of trade-offs inherent in different flow release policies
for all interests (e.g., fish, wildlife, riparian, power generation,
temperature control, and recreation). Development of this kind of
model requires the support and participation of local experts in
biology, geomorphology, hydrology, and economics that are familiar
with the issues specific to flow management on Clear Creek. Part
of ESSA's task in developing the model, therefore, is to work closely
with these experts to ensure that the model adequately captures
all relevant issues. To this end, ESSA is also responsible for facilitating
technical meetings and formal workshops to engage local experts
and solicit their inputs to the model.
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